Nine cents, and what it actually buys Nine cents. That was the quoted price on a contract saying OpenAI would own the best AI model at the end of 2026, according to Casino.org's write-up of…
If you stake ten dollars on an NFL team to win, and someone else buys a ten dollar contract on the same team winning the same game, have the two of you done different things?…
Two licence applications, not a live product Blockchain.com has not launched a US prediction market. In October 2026 the Dallas-based company said it had filed applications with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission for two permissions…
The cease-and-desist letter came first. Then, according to a CasinoBeats report dated 17 October 2026, Underdog went to federal court in Nashville and asked a judge to stop Tennessee from enforcing its wagering laws against…
Prediction markets are regulated, just not as gambling Prediction markets are not unregulated, and they are not sportsbooks in a costume. They are venues where people trade binary contracts on whether a stated event happens,…
What the SEC actually cleared for Cboe The SEC's approval of Cboe's corporate event options does not legalise prediction markets, and prediction markets regulation in the US is no more settled today than it was…
On the night of 23 April 2026, two people could have backed the same outcome: Jeremiyah Love going third in the NFL draft. One did it as a sports bet inside a state-licensed app. The…
What a prediction market actually is A prediction market is a venue where you buy and sell shares in the outcome of a real-world event, and the share price is the market's implied probability that…
A prediction market is a venue where you buy and sell contracts that pay out depending on whether a stated event happens. That definition is clean, federally flavoured, and doing an enormous amount of work.…
Three and a half million dollars is a rounding error in gambling tech. What makes Furnace's seed round interesting is what the money is not building: not an app, not a sportsbook, not a market…
